My Top 35 NFL Quarterbacks
Updated: Aug 24, 2020
1. Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes is in my opinion the best quarterback in the NFL, a generational talent, future Hall of Famer and potential Greatest of All-Time. His accolades after just 2 years are incredible:
- 2-time AFC West Champion
- 2-time Pro Bowler
- First Team All-Pro
- NFL MVP
- 50 TD passes in a single season
- AFC Champion
- Super Bowl LIV Champion
- Super Bowl MVP
There’s was only one way Mahomes could build on his 2018 campaign in which he threw for 5,000 yards and 50 TDs on course to an MVP and overtime loss in the AFC Championship game, get to and win that Super Bowl, he did it. In 2019 whilst dealing with a high ankle sprain and then recovering from a dislocated knee which forced him to miss 2 games, Mahomes still threw for 4,000 yards and 26 touchdowns, ranked 4th in yards per attempt, 7th in Quarterback Rating, 2nd in QBR, 6th in 3rd-down completion percentage with 46.1%, 8th in on target throws and on over 20 yards throws Mahomes completed 50.1% of his passes, threw 13 touchdowns and had the second best passer rating, 122.9. Mahomes is great by all statistics and metrics but is also an incredible leader on and off the field, he has shown time and time again when the cards are stacked against him and he’s backed up against a wall he plays at his best. His generational talent, leadership and intangibles are almost unbeatable which is why the Chiefs are 24-7 in the regular season with Mahomes and 4-1 in the Play-offs. His new 10-year $503 million contract, locking him up in Kansas City for the next 12 years could lay the path for the next NFL dynasty.
2. Russel Wilson
Although Russel Wilson is widely viewed as the 2nd best quarterback in the NFL he is still criminally underrated. In my opinion Wilson is the only other acceptable quarterback to have rated number one over Mahomes and while a lot of people also view them as the top two, Wilson’s greatness is overlooked time and time again. The primary reason Wilson get ignored in my opinion Pete Carroll and the Seahawks philosophy, Carroll is a defensive coach and wants to run the ball, control the clock and line of scrimmage, so long as Carroll is the coach Seattle will be a run first team on offense. Effectively, the Seahawks play as if they have a game manager at quarterback until they are in need of some Wilson magic, which stops Wilson from having inflated stats. With that said, Wilson still ranked 6th in passing yards with 4,110 and 3rd in passing touchdowns with 31 as well as 7th in yards per completion, 1st in Pro Football Focuses best 2019 deep passers and 5th in Quarterback Rating and QBR. Wilson was also sacked 48 times in 2019, the tied most, hurried the most and blitzed the 2nd most times in the league. Ultimately, Wilson spends every game running for his life, he may not have Lamar Jackson speed and agility but before Jackson came around Wilson was that guy, in terms of athleticism and elusiveness, which is often underrated now due to Jackson over worldly ability with his legs. Similar to a lot of the quarterbacks high on this list Russel has incredible leadership and intangibles, in 2019 he was tied first in 4th quarter comebacks with 4 as well as tied first in game winning drives with 5. Overall, Wilson is an incredible dual talent that we do not appreciate enough due to the extremes of Mahomes’ arm and Jackson’s legs, but Wilson is a blend of the two and I expect him to once again lead his Seahawks to the play-offs, have another great statistical year and contend for an MVP which has somehow eluded him in his career so far.
3. Drew Brees
If I told you a five years ago that the NFL’s All-Time passing yards, completions, touchdowns and completion percentage leader was still active and playing at an elite level at age 41 you wouldn’t believe it, well that’s Drew Brees in 2020. Whilst there is the potential Brady may eclipse some of Brees’ records he will remain the most accurate quarterback in NFL history and I can’t see anyone de-throwning him any time soon. He holds 5 of the 6 single-season completion percentage records, the top 3 which he owns were recorded in 2017,2018 and 2019 emphasising how Brees is still playing at an elite level. In 2019, Brees suffered an injury in week 2 that caused him to miss 5 games. This didn’t hold Brees back though, he still finished 1st in completion percentage and on target throws, 3rd in QBR and 3rd down completion percentage and 32nd in bad throws, the best recorded according to Pro Football Reference. Additionally, if you average his 11 games sample, his full season stats would have been 4,332 yards, 39 touchdowns to 6 interceptions. So, despite the fact Brees is ageing and at times later in the season his arm strength looks depleted the above metrics and stats prove that Brees is still playing at an undeniably great level which I expect to continue in 2020.
4. Lamar Jackson
The 2020 reigning MVP Lamar Jackson has shattered the traditional mould for quarterbacks and changed the game forever with his other worldly speed and athleticism at the quarterback position. Lamar totalled 1,206 rushing yards breaking Michael Vicks previous record of 1,039 rushing yards set in 2006, Jackson had more rushing yards per game, 80.4, than running backs Leonard Fournette, Joe Mixon and Saquon Barkley. Jackson is the first player in NFL history to amass 3,000 plus passing yards and 1,500 plus rushing yards in his first 2 season in the league, he also matched one of the All-Time great mobile quarterbacks Randall Cunningham’s greatest achievements in 2019. Against the Rams Jackson threw 5 touchdowns, rushed for 95 yards and finished with a passer rating of 139.4, Cunningham is the only other quarterback in NFL History to have 85 or more rushing yards, 4 or more touchdowns and a passer rating of over 130 in the same game. Jackson may be renowned for his legs but in 2019 he threw for a league leading 36 touchdowns to only 6 interceptions as well as ranking 8th in both completion percentage and 3rd down completion percentage. Jackson also finished 1st in QBR and 3rd in Quarterback Rating. Additionally, Jackson threw a touchdown in9% of his pass attempts, which led the NFL and of all the quarterbacks in NFL history to attempt at least 400 passes in a single season Jackson is 2nd to only Peyton Manning who had a 9.9% in 2004. Admittedly, I don’t believe Jackson is a top 12 quarterback in terms of pure passing, but his game changing speed and athleticism forces teams to account for him as a runner allowing him to carve teams up on the ground and through the air. Jackson is already the greatest running back in NFL history but if he can continue to grow as a passer the Ravens will fare better in the play-offs and Jackson could find himself with a handful of MVP’s and Super Bowls by the time his career is over.
5. Aaron Rodgers
While Aaron Rodgers stats may be on the decline, I still believe he is a top 5 quarterback in the NFL. It appears to be overlooked that in 2019 he was adjusting to an entirely new offense while trying to build a repour with his inexperienced receivers with his number one receiver out for 4 games. Rodgers struggled to get on the same page as his receivers all year wrong as emphasised by the 2nd and 3rd highest catches on the offense being running backs Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams. Despite Rodgers’ difficulties adjusting to the offense he still threw for 4,002 yards with 26 touchdowns to only 4 interceptions. Although his stats aren’t great with him leading the league in bad throw percentage, ranking 20th in QBR and 17th in 3rd down completion percentage, I expect Rodgers to have another classic Rodgers year in 2020 after having an offseason to gain a repour with his receivers, LaFleur and the offensive scheme and system, as well as having a burning fire inside him with the Packers drafting Jordan Love.
6. Carson Wentz
Carson Wentz is in my opinion the most over criticised quarterback in the NFL by some way, primarily due to his inability to stay on the field. While Wentz has undeniably missed games in each of the last 3 years, most importantly post-season games I disagree with the notion he is injury-prone and fragile but instead that he is wildly reckless, as when you look at each of his injuries there is a blatant trend, he is outside the pocket trying to escape rushers or make a play. These reckless plays are in my opinion easily fixed, the coaching staff and Wentz needed to do a better job at restricting the risks Wentz takes in the regular season. Had Wentz not been injured multiple times I believe the narrative on him would be drastically different and in fact place him just behind Mahomes and Jackson in terms of the future of the NFL. Additionally, I also believe it is worth noting as it often goes unmentioned that prior to his injury in Week 14 Wentz was the odds on favourite for NFL MVP with games against the Giants (finished 3-13), Raiders (finished 6-10) and the Cowboys (finished 9-7) which was an easier final three games than Brady’s which suggests its incredibly likely Wentz would have gone home with the award. Wentz’s success is by no means in the past either with a great year in 2019 in my opinion given the injuries at reciever. Wentz’s didnt have a receiver with more than 500 yards in 2019 and numerous injuries to his starters of whom he had a repour with. Even with that Wentz ranked 9th in yards and 5th in touchdowns with 4,039 and 27. As well as 11th in QBR and 9th in 3rd down completion percentage at 45.1%, although his stats aren’t incredible I believe when you take into consideration his circumstances, similar to Brady they are just as good as other top quarterbacks in better circumstances.
7. Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson is a superstar quarterback with all the tools to one day be a hall of fame quarterback in my opinion, he has natural accuracy short, intermediate and deep, he is very mobile and has natural escapability as well as possessing some of the best intangibles the NFL has seen in recent years, he is a leader of men and lays his heart, soul and body on the line for his team and with exception to the 41 unanswered points in the Divisional Round against the Chiefs he has been clutch in all the big moments. In 2019 Watson finished 6th in completion percentage with 67.3%, 10th in air yards per completion, 4th in 3rd down completion percentage with 46.4% and 2nd in Pro Football Focuses best deep passers of 2019, proving that he really is accurate all over the field as well as clutch in those big moments. However, to no fault of his own, Deshaun plays for the Texans whose Head Coach is also General Manager and a historically bad one. The loss of DeAndre Hopkins is huge for Watson, especially on 3rd downs and short distance plays and although Laremy Tunsil is a good left tackle he has been wildly overpaid and Watson was still sacked the 6th most times (44) in the NFL in 2019, which is better than the league leading 62 times in 2018 but still far from good. So, while I believe Watson has an incredible future ahead of him, I hope for his and Texans fans sake that they get a new capable at the very least General Manager or I would not be surprised to see him wind up on another team as his talent is far to good to be wasted.
8. Tom Brady
Tom Brady might not be the best quarterback in the NFL anymore but that doesn’t make him trash all of a sudden. The idea that he fell off is entirely false and unfair when you take into consideration what he had to work with, he ranked 2nd in dropped passes, his number one receiver led the league in drops and his receiver core as a whole ranked last in separation. Which explains why he ranked 23rd in intended air yards, 27th in completion percentage, 29th in yards per attempt and 1st in throw aways, even with that said Brady still finished 2nd in on target throws and threw for 4,057 yards, 24 touchdowns and just 8 interceptions on course to winning the AFC East comfortably with a 12-4 record. In 2020, the 6-time Super Bowl champion will be playing for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with two top 6 receivers and 3 good tight ends. So, with these new weapons I expect Brady to have a huge year in 2020 and prove those who believe he has fallen off wrong.
9. Matthew Stafford
Matthew Stafford is in my opinion probably the most underrated quarterback in the NFL right now. Whilst it cannot be denied that Stafford is 69-79-1 for his career, he has shown elite arm talent and natural ability to throw the ball all over the field and into tight windows. Despite only playing 8 games in 2019 Stafford threw for 2,499 yards, 19 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, which would project his full season stats to be 4,998 yards, 38 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also ranked:
1st in intended air yards per attempt
1nd in air yards per attempt
T-1st in air yards per completion
2nd in yards per game
2nd in yards per attempt
2nd in yards per completion
6th in quarterback rating
6th in QBR
12th in 3rd down completion
Proving that he really can sling the ball all over the field, also prior to missing 8 games in 2019 he hadn’t missed a game in 8 years which is the definition of durable. His winning mentality and intangibles are often overlooked due to Detroit losing a lot of games but Stafford owns the record for most 4th quarter comebacks in a season with 8 and ranks 5th amongst active quarterbacks with 28, which is the most in the NFL since he entered the league in 2009, for comparison, Brady has 36 and Brees had 35. Why Stafford doesn’t get the respect and notoriety he deserves baffles me, if the Lions had given him a good offensive line, any sort of run game or average defense over the years his career would look a lot better in my opinion.
10. Matt Ryan
Since the Falcons famous collapse in Super Bowl 51, Matt Ryan seems to have been forgotten as well as his MVP year. Although the Falcons missed the Play-offs for the second straight year in 2019 it is not down to poor quarterback play, but in fact their defense which ranked 5th worst in 2018 and 13th worst in 2019 in total yards allowed compared to their offense with ranked 6th best in 2018 and 5th best in 2019 in total yards. Despite finishing 2019 7-9 Matt Ryan threw for 4,466 yards and 26 touchdowns ranking 4th in yards per game and 7th in completion percentage with 66.2%. Whilst Ryan is often tarnished due to having an elite number one weapon in Julio Jones he proved once again in 2019 that he is a great thrower of the football, ranking 7th in completed air yards, 28th in bad throw percentage according to Pro Football Reference and 7th in Pro Football Focuses best deep passers with a completion percentage of 42.9% when throwing for more than 20 yards. If Atlanta’s two young offensive lineman can develop during the offseason along with Hayden Hurts and Calvin Ridley taking the next step I can see the Falcons having an elite offense and Ryan showing once again how great of an NFL quarterback he truly is.
11. Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins finally overcame the huge shadow looming over his career in 2019 by winning his first play-off game, opening the doors for his critics to finally give him the credit he deserves. On course to a 10-5 record Cousins threw for 26 touchdowns to only 6 interceptions. While he only threw for 3,603 yards, Stefanski’s offense saw the Vikings finish 6th in rushing yards per game, meaning the offense didn’t allow for Cousins to fill the stats sheet in yards. Despite not filling the stat sheets Cousins finished 4th in Quarterback Rating, 7th in yards per attempt, 5th in completion percentage with 69.1%, 5th in on target throws and 2nd in 3rd down conversion percentage, proving that although the offense was run through Dalvin Cook he still performed at a very high level. Although the Vikings traded away star receiver Stefon Diggs they replaced him in the 1st round of the draft with Justin Jefferson, while he won’t replace Diggs’ productivity it does replace his loss to extent. Further, if the Vikings offense runs through the run game again in 2020, I expect Cousins to have another good year regardless of Diggs’ absence.
12. Ben Roethlisberger
Although Ben Roethlisberger was last seen in 2018, I have complete belief he will return to his 2018 form and so does he, in a recent interview with the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette he said, “I’m throwing without pain for the first time in years.” This fresh version of Big Ben is not one I think people should take lightly. When last seen, Ben led the league with 5,130 yards through the air and 34 touchdowns as well as ranking 4th in QBR. Pro Football Focus also ranked Big Ben’s 2018 deep passing 5th amongst 2019 quarterbacks, further proving Ben can really air it out. However, while Ben led the league in yards, he also ranked 1st in bad throws with 122, 1st in yards after catch and 31st in completed air yardage, proving that Ben did not sling it deep as much as his gunslinger stigma would suggest. Instead while taking his fair share of deep shots he hit underneath routes getting the ball into his play makers hands. Even with that said Roethlisberger is undisputedly a Gunslinger hence leading the league in interceptions and bad throws in 2018 whilst also leading the league in yards, finishing 5th in touchdowns and 4th in QBR, that’s just Big Bens style of play. So, when take into account how good Roethlisberger was in 2018 combined with his newly found arm strength, I think Big Ben and the Steelers are in for a very good year in 2020.
13. Dak Prescott
Prescott may not be viewed as the passer that many of the quarterbacks ranked ahead of him are but that didn’t stop him from having a great year in 2019. Prescott finished the season with 4,902 yards, 30 touchdowns to 11 interceptions, 65.1% completion rate and 4th in QBR. While the Cowboys missed the play-off finishing 8-8, Dak crushed the idea that he is ‘dink and dunk’ quarterback proving that he can really air it out. He finished 3rd in completed air yards, 13th in 3rd-down completion percentage, 7th in on target throw percentage and Pro Football Focus ranked him as the 4th best deep passer along with completing 46.1% of his throw over 20 yards. Impressively, Prescott was able to do all this while ranking 2nd in drop percentage according to Pro Football Reference. Prescott also possesses great intangibles, he is great leader who leads by example on and off the field and a winner by nature, sitting at 40-24 for his career. With the addition of Ceedee Lamb I believe the Cowboys have 3 legitimate wide receivers as well as a very underrated tight end and elite running back and offensive line when healthy. Given his surrounding pieces I expect Dak to have a great year in 2020, challenge for the top 10 and earn himself a huge contract.
14. Kyler Murray
The Cardinals may not have had the greatest year in 2019 but Kyler showed he possesses all the tools to be great quarterback in the NFL. Kyler’s explosive elusiveness he showed off in college correlated to the pros with him totalling 544 rushing yards placing him 2nd amongst quarterbacks behind only Lamar Jackson proving that he can be the incredible dual threat Arizona had hoped he would. Kyler also showed his natural accuracy and arm talent in 2019 throwing for 3,713 yards and 20 touchdowns while completing 64.4% of his passes which is impressive for a rookie. Murray also ranked 15th in QBR as well as Pro Football Focuses 6th best deep passer in 2019 with a 41.9% completion percentage on throw over 20 yards, proving he really is a defences nightmare. It’s also worth noting that although Kyler was sacked 48 times Pro Football Focus charged Murray at being at fault for 23 of those sacks which led the NFL, so if Kyler can clear up the negative plays in 2020 as well as continuing to grow as a passer I think we could see a huge year for Kyler and the Cardinals offense especially with the new addition of Deandre Hopkins.
15. Cam Newton
Originally I had Cam at 11th on this list but after some consideration I decided to move him down to 15th due to uncertainty surrounding where Cam is at as a passer right now and his athletic ability, as while I believe Cam is still a very good quarterback, admittedly he is no longer ‘Super Cam’ and hasn’t been since 2015. However, in 2018 Cam was completing a career best 67.9% of his passes which shows he’s adapting to becoming a pocket passer. Cam also possesses a rare athletic ability, making him a dual threat which causes mismatches and forces defenses to account for both his arm and his legs. The main knock against Cam is the injury prone stigma attached to him which is completely wrong. Apart from the one whole season he missed in 2018 he has only missed 6 games over his 9 years in the NFL despite laying his body on the line for his team game after game. The stigma should in fact be reversed, Cam is durable and leads by example by putting everything on the line for the team.
16. Jimmy Garoppolo
Garoppolo’s reputation to the many all rested on that one play in the Super Bowl, 4th quarter, 1:40 on the clock, 3rd&10, down 24-20, Shanahan schemes Sanders open deep but Garoppolo overthrew him. Garoppolo had what would likely have been the Super Bowl winning play in his hands and he missed it. That one play tainted Garoppolo’s entire year, regular season and play-offs both. Garoppolo in fact had a very good year, he threw 27 touchdowns to 13 interceptions, completing 69.1% of his passes. He also led the NFL in 3rd down completion percentage with 50%. Garoppolo is currently a game manager who is huge on third downs. While he may ride Shanahan’s scheme and their run game to an extent, the 49ers are 21-6 including the play-offs with Garoppolo and 4-20 without him, Garoppolo is a winner and that’s what matters most.
17. Derek Carr
It feels like Derek Carr has been on the ‘Hot Seat’ for a few years now and when you take a deep dive into his stats its very hard to determine whether he is a good or great quarterback. In 2019, Carr threw for 4,054, 21 touchdowns and just 8 interceptions whilst completing 70.4% of his passes. Despite his impressive completion percentage, it is in fact the centre of his criticism. Carr for much of his career has been viewed as a ‘dink and dunk’ quarterback which he showed again in 2019, ranking 2nd worst in average intended air yards, 2nd worst in aggressiveness and 5th worst in average completed air yards according to NFL Next Gen Stats. Yet, while these stats echo an inability to throw the ball down the field he ranked 5th in third down completion percentage in 2019, as well as ranking 17th with a completion percentage of 37.5% in Pro Football Focuses best deep passes in 2019, but more impressively only a year ago in 2018 Carr was ranked by Pro Football Focus as the best passer over 20 yards, completing 52.3% of his passes. So, in fact Carr is a very good passer at both short, intermediate and deep throws which begs the question to why not only he appears to consistently be on the ‘Hot Seat’ but also why the Raiders have had 3 losing seasons over the past 3 years with a total record of 17-30. I believe a lot of it is down to his aggressiveness, he simply opts not to throw the ball deep and instead check it down which limits an offenses productivity. Hopefully, in 2020 the addition of speedster Henry Ruggs III in the draft will force Carr’s hand in letting the ball go deep.
18. Jared Goff
Jared Goff has proven to be a good quarterback when he has all the pieces around him. In 2017 and 2018 he had two very good years, however, when you have a great offensive line, Kupp, Woods and Cooks on the outside and prime Todd Gurley in the backfield it’s very difficult for a quarterback to not be successful. Regardless, taking a team to the Super Bowl in a win or a loss is deserved of respect. Whilst Goff’s play in 2019 was nothing to shout about it, I expect him to continue to grow as a quarterback in 2020 and subsequent years. Unfortunately for Goff the situation around him is unlikely to get much better in the next few years, so although he may get better, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him fall down many peoples quarterback rankings in the next few years.
19. Ryan Tannehill
Tannehill quietly had a great year in 2019. Whilst he was recognised for his AFC Championship run, his regular season play didn’t seem to get the credit it deserved. Tannehill started in 10 games for the Titans in which he threw 22 touchdowns to only 6 interceptions while completing a career high 70.3% of his passes. While a lot of Tannehill’s critics along with myself believe a lot of Tannehill’s productivity was piggybacked off Derrick Henry’s incredible season it cannot be denied that Tannehill ranked 7th in 3rd down completion percentage and also ranked 9th in QBR as well as 1st in yards per attempt and per completion. Up to 2019 Tannehill had shown no reason for anymore to believe he was a good starter in the NFL. However, if he has another solid season in 2020 and shows that he is not just a product of Derrick Henry he will cement himself in my mind as a good starter in the NFL.
20. Baker Mayfield
Mayfield faces a big year in 2020 due to his performance in 2019 and the Browns new General Manager and Head Coach. Despite Mayfield’s awful season in which he threw 22 touchdowns to 21 interceptions, completing 59.4% of his passes averaging 239.2 yards per game, all of which regressed from 2018. However, Mayfield’s play was not the only reason for his struggles in 2019, he had a poor offensive line, an inexperienced head coach and too many egos for him to handle at receivers. Regardless, he had numerous flaws in his play, too often did he roll to his right trying to extend plays or make one with his legs or force the ball to a receiver. If Baker can fix these issues in his game in 2020 and revert back to his natural accuracy and leadership, which I believe is entirely plausible we will see both Mayfield and the Browns have a good year in 2020.
21. Teddy Bridgewater
In my opinion Teddy Bridgewater in one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the NFL. He may not possess the athletic ability or tools that some quarterbacks possess but he has intangibles that those quarterbacks do not have either, all he does is win. He is 22-12 for his career, he finished 11-5 in his last full season as a starter and 5-0 went Drew Brees went down in 2019. The Panthers may not have an incredible roster or reside in an easy division, but Bridgewater is surrounded by D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel and Robby Anderson at wide receiver and the best running back in the NFL who is also an elite receiver in Christian McCaffrey. Hence, I expect Bridgewater to quiet any critics and have a good season in Carolina in 2020 regardless of their record.
22. Phillip Rivers
I’m not a huge fan of Phillip Rivers especially after his 2019 season but he has 14 years of starting experience which cannot go unaccounted and is the primary reason he is ahead of the likes of Darnold and Allen along with his ability to rack up passing yards. While Colts fans seem to be happy with the addition of Rivers and believe they can now push for the play-offs I strongly disagree. Rivers is 38, immobile, turnover prone and has a unique throwing motion that relies on arm strength which appeared to have fallen off in 2019. I expect him to have a better year in 2020 with the Colts in terms of turnovers as they have potentially the best offensive line in football but he is going to see his quality of receivers diminish in my opinion and whilst his elite competitiveness will still be their I do not expect Rivers to be enough to push to Colts over the top in 2020.
23. Sam Darnold
Unfortunately for Darnold he plays for one of the worst franchises in recent years which I believe has overshadowed him ability. The signing of Le’Veon Bell did not have the impact the Jets had hoped on Darnold’s development due to the offensive line. No other quarterback in the NFL is asked to do more with less than Darnold which makes his performance in 2019 even more impressive, while his stats don’t jump off the page he led potentially the worst roster in the NFL to a 7-6 record, and with the exception of his awful performance in New England he did not have a bad game and played at a very consistent level all year. He still has arguably the worst receiving core and offensive line in the NFL which when partnered together make for an impossible task to win with. The Jets will hope the additions of Denzel Mims at receiver and Mekhi Becton and Connor McGovern on the offensive line will help Darnold in 2020 but I doubt they will have much impact. I believe Darnold will take another step forward in 2020 but I would not be surprised for the Jets record to regress given their schedule.
24. Josh Allen
Raw talent comes in bags with Josh Allen, he is athletically gifted in a way different to most running quarterbacks. He finished 3rd in rushing yards only 34 yards behind Kyler Murray and 1st in rushing touchdowns. Not only does he run with the ball well, but he is potentially the only quarterback in the NFL who can rival Patrick Mahomes’ arm strength. Whilst his raw talent means he has the potential to be a top 5 quarterback one day he needs to work on his technical ability, primarily his accuracy a lot before he even gets close to that. Allen built on his poor 2018 season in 2019 finishing with better stats in each category.
5-6, 10 TDs, 12 INTs, 172.8 YPG, 52.8% Completion
10-6, 20 TDs, 9 INTS, 193.1 YPG, 58.8% Completion
So, if Allen can continue to develop as a passer instead of relying on his athletic ability, I can see no reason why he can’t shoot up this list by the end of the 2020 season.
25. Andy Dalton
Andy Dalton has been criminally underrated throughout his career. Between 2011-2015 Dalton had 5 consecutive winning seasons with a record of 50-26-1 and touchdown to interception ratio of 124-73. However, over the past 4 years with the exception of A.J. Green, Dalton has had little weapons to work with and a shoddy offensive line in Cincinnati which has led to a record of 20-35-1. Daltons career has been a tale of two halves, but I do not believe it was his play that fell off but instead the team and coaching around him. I think Dalton is a starter in this league and deserves to be one, his deal in Dallas sees him there for one season but then he can test the market in free agency and I believe there will be numerous jobs available.
26. Drew Lock
Drew Lock has given the Broncos a quarterback to finally be happy about post Peyton Manning. Lock was the 42ndoverall pick in the 2019 NFL draft and won the starting job in Denver in week 13. From there Lock went onto finish the season 4-1 throwing 7 touchdowns to 3 interceptions. Although Lock looked like a legitimate young starting quarterback in those 5 games apart from against the Chiefs it is worth noting that teams did not have the requisite tape on Lock which means I don’t want to jump on the Lock bandwagon just yet. However, I think both the Broncos and Lock have the potential to make some real noise in the AFC West this year and if Lock builds on his 2019 season, I truly believe he could catapult himself into at least a top 18 quarterback.
27. Daniel Jones
‘Danny Dimes’ shocked Giants and NFL fans both in 2019 after as very good rookie campaign for the shock 6thoverall pick. Jones started 12 games after taking over from the now retired Giants legend Eli Manning. Despite finishing 3-9 in his 12 games as a starter Jones was playing without Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard and a healthy Saquon Barkley for a chunk of the season and still threw for 232.8 yards per game completing 61.9% of his passes with 24 touchdowns to 12 interceptions. However, Jones struggled all year with fumbles and led the league with 18, fortunately this is something easily worked on and should be better in 2020. Possibly more important is Jones’ consistency. Although he threw for 24 touchdowns 13 of them came in 3 stellar performances against the Lions, Jets and Redskins which you can’t take away from him, but they do inflate his stats and hide some bad performances like those against the Packers and Patriots. With a fresh Saquon Barkley, 2nd year Darius Slayton and left tackle Andrew Thomas in the draft I expect Jones to build on his 2019 season and if he can fix his fumbling issue both his stats and the Giants record will improve.
28. Gardner Minshew II
‘Minshew Mania’ was potentially the biggest surprise of the 2019 season. Minshew II was taken in the 6th round of the 2019 draft and thrusted into the starting job when Nick Foles went down in week 1. Although when Foles came back he re-assumed the starting job it did not take long for Minshew to win it back in week 4. Minshew finished the season 20th in touchdowns with 21, 6 interceptions as well as averaging 233.6 yards per game which placed 21st. Minshew also ranked 3rd in Pro Football Focuses best passers over 20 yards, completing 49%. If Minshew can continue this productivity I see no reason why he cannot be a good starter in the NFL, However, the cards are stacked against him, as not only was he a 6th round pick but the Jaguars are rebuilding which will likely have a negative on Minshew’s play.
29. Jameis Winston
Winston is in my view one of the hardest quarterbacks to judge in the NFL. He undoubtably has elite arm talent and strength which he showed off in 2019 with his league leading 5,109 passing yards as well as 30 touchdowns, but he also showed off his awful decision making with a league leading 30 interceptions and an NFL-record 7 pick-sixes. Winston has struggled his entire career with turnovers and it’s not something I expect to change overnight in New Orleans with Brees and Peyton but if he can get a hold of his turnovers he has the elite arm talent to be a top 15 quarterback in the NFL and I hope he can turn it around.
30. Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby is a decent but limited quarterback. In his first two years as a starter he has proven that he is not the guy to win you games nor lose them, he has been a consistent game manager who does not turn the ball over. It is worth remembering that although Brissett is 27 he has only started 32 games in his career, but in those games, he is 12-20. While I think Brissett could eventually be a starter in the NFL, for now being a backup quarterback is where I think he is at.
31. Mitchell Trubisky
Trubisky will forever be a tough pill to swallow for Bears fans, not only did they pass up on both Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson, but they traded up to 2nd overall to pick Trubisky. Personally, I believe Trubisky has very fragile confidence and I don’t think it has ever fully repaired after he was booed at the Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls game. Trubisky knows he has an elite defense and undoubtably hears the rumblings from his own fans and the media which was highlighted when he asked for all NFL shows to be tuned off in the Bears facility. I think Trubisky’s downfall is his head not his natural ability. He possesses a lot of the tools for a good young quarterback but too often does he almost blackout, not ready pressures, throwing to double covered receivers or over and under throwing open receivers by a mile. 2020 is a big year for Trubisky and I hope he can overcome his confidence issues.
32. Nick Foles
Nick Foles may have had arguably the best two games in NFL play-off history on his way to winning Super Bowl 52 in 2018 against the New England Patriots after starting quarterback Carson Wentz tore his ACL, followed by another good season with the Eagles after Wentz went down again but his storybook career took a big hit in 2019 after getting injured in week 1 before being given his job back in week 11 only to lose it after 3 straight losses to Gardner Minshew II. Foles’ career as a starting quarterback hangs on a needle thread going into 2020., if he can beat out Trubisky for the starting job in Chicago and perform well I believe he will be a starter for the Bears for a few years until they find and develop their next quarterback.
33. Dwayne Haskins
It’s still very early for Dwayne Haskins and with a new Head Coach and offensive co-ordinater I still believe he has a bright future in Washington. Unfortunately for Haskins he did not have a head coach that wanted or believed in him in Jay Gruden and a front office who decided when he would start not the coaching staff. So, ultimately Haskins was thrown into the deep end not ready and without adequate preparation which was evident in his play. Hopefully with a head coach who believes in him and an offseason under his belt Haskins can win the starting job and show his talent in 2020.
34. Marcus Mariota
2020 will be Mariota’s 5th year in the NFL and unfortunately for him he’s been labelled a bust. I like Mariota’s dual threat ability but he’s 29-32 for his career on a roster that has not been abrupt of talent. He has an opportunity in Las Vegas with the Raiders but im not sold on him being able to turn it around.
35. Ryan Fitzpatrick
‘Fitzmagic’ just doesn’t do it for me. I know he can catch lightning in a bottle for a few games, but he can’t sustain it. Consistency is key in the NFL and its why no one wants Fitzpatrick as their long-term starter.
Image used from: https://www.flickr.com/photos/larrymaurer/8197080670/
Image was cropped.
Image By: Larry Maurer
Statistics used from:
Pro Football Reference
NFL NEXT GEN STATS
Pro Football Focus